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Wednesday, September 8, 2010

OSU Football: Hurricanes Are Forecast For Ohio Stadium

Game Two: Miami Hurricanes

Location: Ohio Stadium, 3:40pm kickoff, ESPN
Head Coach: Randy Shannon
Miami Players Who Were Recruited By Ohio State: DB Latwan Anderson, WR Leonard Hankerson, CB Brandon Harris, OT Seantrel Henderson, CB Ryan Hill, C Brandon Linder, LB Colin McCarthy, CB Brandon McGee, CB Keion Payne, S Kacy Rodgers, CB DeMarcus Van Dyke
When Miami Is On Offense VS. Ohio State's Defense: Miami scored easily and often in their opener against Florida A&M, winning 45-0. I look for Miami to use multiple wideout sets, to put a great deal of pressure on Ohio State's secondary. If Miami can strike deep for big gains, Ohio State could be in trouble. Ohio State's secondary has experience in starting corners Chimdi Chekwa and Devon Torrence, but Ohio State has not faced a passing attack like Miami.
Ohio State's defensive line will need to apply pressure on Miami QB Jacory Harris. Ohio State DE Nathan Williams will return from injury, but the rest of the defensive line will need to put more pass rush pressure on Miami than they did against Marshall.
Edge: Miami. I do not look for Miami to be able to run effectively on Ohio State, but I do believe Miami's passing game to test Ohio State's secondary.
When Ohio State Is On Offense VS Miami's Defense: Ohio State was able to both run and pass against Marshall in its 45-7 win. One of the key aspects of Ohio State's offense was how QB Terrelle Pryor distributed the ball to various receivers, especially TE Jake Stoneburner.
Miami was able to register eight sacks in its opening win, so a key match-up to watch will be Ohio State OLT Mike Adams against Miami DE Allen Bailey. I will also be curious to see if Pryor takes off for positive yardage more than he did against Marshall.
Edge: Ohio State. While Miami has a fearsome pass rush, I believe Ohio State's running game, led by RB Brandon Saine, will be able to control the clock. Another key area to watch will be if Miami will be able to effectively cover TE Jake Stoneburner. This was an area Wisconsin exploited repeatedly in their bowl win over Miami, and I am guessing Ohio State will try to do the same.
Intangibles: Miami is seeking revenge for its bitter defeat to Ohio State in the 2003 Fiesta Bowl. Ohio State needs this game, to not only gain national respect, but also to stay in the national title hunt. If Ohio State loses this game, it will be out of the national championship race - with Boise State's impressive opening win, as well as other schools highly ranked such as Texas, Nebraska, or Oregon, Ohio State cannot slip up.
One interesting area that may play a factor - the weather. With rain possibly in the forecast, this could play a part on both teams' passing games.
Slight Edge: Ohio State. While I respect Miami's quest for revenge and respect, the reality is none of the key players from that 2002 team (Kellen Winslow, Ken Dorsey, Jonathan Vilma, etc) are suiting up for the Hurricanes.
With a 3:40pm kickoff, the fans are going to have ample time for tailgating and will be ready to make it as loud as possible for the Hurricanes. The home crowd, and possibly the weather, make me give this slight edge to the Buckeyes.
Prediction: I believe this game is going to be lower scoring than most people possibly anticipate. Both defenses are fast and disruptive.
While Miami has the talent to pull out a win, and it would not be an upset in my eyes if they won, I believe Miami has to wait until next season when Ohio State visits to get their victory. I am going with Ohio State 17, Miami 14.





Thursday, September 2, 2010

Columbus Dispatch ~ Blogging The Buckeyes: Method behind the madness?

Interesting observation…Hmmm…

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Many observers thought it more than a bit curious that officials from Ohio State and Michigan said nothing publicly to thwart what seemed to be momentum for ending the timing of the Buckeyes-Wolverines annual showdown in late November.

Jim Tressel couldn't be coaxed into entering the debate. OSU AD Gene Smith would not even state his personal preference. OSU president Gordon Gee said in Dayton that he was warm to the idea of adjusting the timing of the game.

New Michigan AD Dave Brandon went even further, suggesting on Aug. 20 that it'd be preferable to move the date from late November to ensure the arch-rivals couldn't meet in back-to-back games (if both advanced to the Big Ten championship game).

Today, Brandon hinted to Michigan reporters that it may have all been a ruse to spark a public outcry to save The Game's final-week status. When asked if he made
the comments with such a purpose in mind, Brandon smiled and said, "Would I do that?"

Brandon added, "Hey, my sense was that was a jump-ball situation, and I ran a public company for 20 years and learned about managing expectations. It's easier to exceed expectations if you manage them properly. So I wanted people to understand that was a possibility, and the fact we got some reaction to that was helpful. It all worked out."

The fact that his comments two weeks ago came a day after Smith told the Dispatch the OSU-Michigan game might be moved?

"Totally coincidental," Brandon said, smiling again.

Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany said the notion of moving the OSU-Michigan game was not a trial balloon. He said floating trial balloons isn't his style. But he said he couldn't speak for others.

"There were a lot of models being run in the early stages (and) that game was a late game but not the last one," Brandon said. "At one point there was a very real possibility that the game would be moved off the last game of the year, and all I have to say about it is I love the fact we're able to retain it. It's important to our fans, its important to me, and I'm glad we got there."


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Adam Rittenberg of ESPN.com ~ My take on Big Ten divisions, schedules

After months of anticipation, the Big Ten divisions are official for 2011 and beyond. As colleague Andy Katz reported earlier on ESPN.com, the breakdown goes like this:

Division 1: Michigan, Nebraska, Iowa, Michigan State, Northwestern, Minnesota

Division 2: Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Purdue, Indiana, Illinois

Each team will have one protected crossover rival in the opposite division, which it will play every year. The Big Ten will continue to play an eight-game conference schedule through at least the 2014 season.

Protected crossovers: Michigan-Ohio State, Penn State-Nebraska, Minnesota-Wisconsin, Northwestern-Illinois, Purdue-Iowa, Michigan State-Indiana.

(Moment of silence for the impending interruption of the Land Grant Trophy series ... thank you.)

The Big Ten likely will go to nine conference games beginning in 2015, at which time it could add a second protected crossover game and preserve more rivalries. But league commissioner Jim Delany gave no indication on the Big Ten Network that a second protected crossover is coming.

The other big news tonight is that the Ohio State-Michigan game will continue to be played on the final Saturday of the regular season. There had been major outcry on both sides of the rivalry about the possibility of The Game being played earlier in the season, but it's not going anywhere. You spoke, and the Big Ten listened.

Other games on the final regular-season Saturday in 2011 include: Indiana-Purdue, Iowa-Nebraska, Michigan State-Northwestern, Penn State-Wisconsin and Minnesota-Illinois. So Minnesota-Illinois is the only other cross-division game on the final Saturday of the regular season.

Thoughts? I have plenty.

OHIO STATE-MICHIGAN

Delany might have had to enter the Witness Protection Program had The Game been moved from its spot on the final regular-season Saturday. Athletic directors Gene Smith (Ohio State) and Dave Brandon (Michigan) might have had to join him, too.

The Ohio State-Michigan game belongs in late November, period. There's too much tradition there, and both programs consider The Game to be a portion of their schedule, much like the nonconference and the Big Ten slate. Delany talked to me last week about a schedule needing "build," or momentum. Taking Ohio State-Michigan off of the last weekend would have removed the momentum from the schedule. So it's good to see The Game staying put.

That said, there are some potential problems of having a cross-division game on the final regular-season Saturday. What if both Ohio State and Michigan have the division titles wrapped up before The Game? Will The Game lose significance if a rematch in the league championship is possible the very next week? And what about the division races as a whole? Ideally, these two races could be decided within the division on the final Saturday of November.

I wouldn't have split Ohio State and Michigan, but I understand why the Big Ten did it. This league is in the championship-game business now, competing on the same day with the SEC, Big 12, ACC and Pac-10. You put Ohio State and Michigan on the championship stage together, and you gain a large part of the national spotlight, regardless of what's happening elsewhere. It's a pretty attractive possibility, although as the ACC has shown, dream championship matchups are often just that, pipe dreams.

Will there be outcry? Sure. But not as much as there would have been had The Game moved.

DIVISION BALANCE

Top to bottom, Division 1 looks a bit stronger, but for the most part, the league achieved its primary objective of competitive balance. The Big Ten evaluated its current 11 members plus Nebraska based on their performances since 1993. Looking at the records, it's pretty easy to see that six teams separated themselves: Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Nebraska and Iowa.

A 3-3 split seemed very likely, and that's what we see here. The Big Ten could have done things geographically and put Nebraska, Iowa and Wisconsin in one division opposite Penn State, Ohio State and Michigan. But as I've been telling you for months, consolidating the three most popular programs into one division is a major mistake. If Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State all reached the top 10 in the same season, no one would care about the other division. Tough tacos, that's just the way it is.

I would have put Penn State with Nebraska and Iowa, but this setup preserves at least one regional rivalry for the Lions in Ohio State.

My main concern with this setup is what happens when Michigan gets back to being Michigan. You've got three potential powers in Michigan, Nebraska and Iowa, alongside two programs in Northwestern and Michigan State that are finding consistency under relatively new coaches. Minnesota needs to step up its game in a hurry. At least the Little Brown Jug rivalry is an annual event again.

Division 2 would benefit from Purdue getting back to the level it was for most of Joe Tiller's tenure. If not, there could be a sizable gap between the top three teams (Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin) and the bottom three.

IOWA-WISCONSIN-MINNESOTA

Remember my post about this conundrum back in June. I didn't think the Big Ten would be able to preserve all the annual rivalries between these teams and bring Nebraska into the mix.

All three teams want to play each other every year. All three also want to build rivalries with Nebraska. The problem for the Big Ten is none of those games really move the needle nationally like, say, Penn State-Nebraska or Michigan-Nebraska.

If any team has a legitimate gripe about the divisions, it's Wisconsin. The Badgers lose their annual rivalry against Iowa, and despite coach Bret Bielema's Twitter efforts, Wisconsin won't face Nebraska every year, either. Wisconsin AD Barry Alvarez, a Nebraska alum, is out of town today and unavailable for comment, but I'm interested to see what he thinks of the setup.

If anything, Wisconsin is a victim of its own recent success. The Badgers earned the right to be placed with heavyweights Ohio State and Penn State, and they can elevate their national profile by beating those teams on a consistent basis. But I'm sure this is a blow to fans who love the Iowa rivalry and had high hopes for a Nebraska rivalry. Things will get better when the league goes to nine conference games.

OTHER THOUGHTS

  • Nebraska has to be pleased with its position. The Huskers get a border rivalry against Iowa that will be huge (Farmageddon, baby), and they renew a regional rivalry with Minnesota. They also face Penn State every year, renewing a great series. Plus, Michigan will be on the schedule each season. The only downside is that Nebraska could go several years without facing Ohio State. Nebraska closes the 2011 season with games at Penn State, at Michigan and against Iowa in Lincoln. Welcome to the Big Ten, Big Red.
  • I doubt Iowa, Michigan State, Purdue and Indiana are thrilled with their protected crossover games, but not everyone comes out of this satisfied. For Iowa fans, you get Nebraska every year and the Floyd of Rosedale game. Michigan State still gets to play archrival Michigan every year, plus a marquee game against Nebraska. Purdue and Indiana have the Bucket game protected through the division. Purdue maintains a trophy game with Illinois, and Indiana still faces the Illini every year in a good regional matchup.
  • I'm a little surprised that the Big Ten didn't go with Penn State-Nebraska ahead of Iowa-Nebraska on the final regular-season Saturday. It speaks to how big the league thinks the Nebraska-Iowa rivalry will be.
  • Given the fervor among the two fan bases on this blog, I wanted to see Iowa and Penn State continue to play every year. But the series lacked an extensive history, so I can see why it was expendable.
  • Here are the trophy games that no longer will be played every year: Iowa-Wisconsin, Minnesota-Penn State and Penn State-Michigan State. You can't save 'em all.


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ESPN.com ~ Jim Delany discusses division alignment

ESPN.com's Adam Rittenberg's post on Jim Delany & The Big Ten's division alignment…

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Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany held a teleconference tonight with media members about the league's new division alignment, which goes into effect for the 2011 season.

Here are some of the highlights:

  • As the league examined data from 1993 until now, three tiers of teams emerged, based solely on performance. Tier 1: Ohio State, Michigan, Penn State, Nebraska. Tier 2: Wisconsin and Iowa. Tier 3: Purdue, Northwestern, Michigan State, Indiana, Illinois, Minnesota. The league went about dividing each tier to form divisions. "We went in the room together, we had differences from time to time, but we came out of the room together," Delany said.
  • Delany said fan input mattered during the process, especially regarding the Ohio State-Michigan game. Nebraska athletic director Tom Osborne said on the Big Ten Network that he was beginning to take heat from fans asserting that he was destroying the league's top rivalry. "We heard the fans," Delany said. "There's no doubt about that their voice mattered." Athletic directors Gene Smith (Ohio State) and Dave Brandon (Michigan) both looked relieved that The Game is staying put. Delany also shot down the notion that the Big Ten was putting out trial balloons to gauge the reaction to a possible Ohio State-Michigan move.
  • Division champions will be determined by all games played within the league. If two teams tie for the division lead, the head-to-head winner goes to the league title game. If there's a three-way tie, the team with the best record against the rest of the division goes to the championship. If there's still a tie, the Big Ten will use the BCS standings in some form that's still to be determined.
  • Delany said teams were evaluated based purely on performance, not as brand names. "How successfully they were financially didn't factor," he said. Also, he downplayed his ability to sell a potential Ohio State-Michigan meeting in the Big Ten championship to potential TV partners. "I'm convinced that whoever makes it to that championship game is going to do a great [rating]," Delany said. "I'm not worried about repeats for Ohio State-Michigan."
  • The Big Ten still needs to vote on a nine-game conference schedule, but if and when it happens, a second protected crossover is unlikely. Delany seems to favor having shorter gaps between when league members play one another. "That's probably the fairest way to go," he said. I think two protected crossovers solves a lot of problems, but it doesn't seem like they're heading in that direction.
  • Delany admitted that Wisconsin is "geographically stretched" in the new alignment, as the Badgers were split from the Iowa-Nebraska-Minnesota bloc on the western edge of the league. The good news is Wisconsin will play Nebraska in a cross-division matchup to open the Big Ten season in both 2011 and 2012. And the Minnesota rivalry will be preserved. "I think the Badgers are a national college football program in a great conference," Delany said. "[Wisconsin athletic director Barry Alvarez] advocated hard for more regional representation, but he also said, 'Gentlemen, no matter where you are, you have to win games, and we got good by winning games.' He understood you're going to have to beat the very best." Wisconsin definitely has the biggest gripe of any program. The Badgers are victims of their own success.
  • Delany said there were no ulterior motives behind Nebraska's initial Big Ten schedule, which includes road games against Wisconsin, Michigan and Penn State, and home dates with both Ohio State and Iowa. But he also acknowledged, "They wanted to be in the league in 2011. We did back flips to make it happen."
  • The athletic directors only recommended one schedule to the presidents, but two ideas were in play. The one they didn't go with called for all rivalry/trophy games to be played in the first seven weeks of the season. The final two weeks would be reserved solely for divisional play. Ultimately, the big wigs felt hamstrung by keeping things solely within the divisions in the final two weeks. "What we're going to see is rivalry and trophy games being played in eight of our nine weeks," Delany said. "We said we wanted to do tradition, we said we wanted to do equal competition. We felt we could do both with this move." Moving the Michigan-Ohio State game to October was never discussed, Delany said on the Big Ten Network.
  • The Big Ten's next steps are to name the divisions, the division championship trophies and the league championship trophy. Delany also hopes to get a logo and a long-term branding identity for the league in place by Dec. 1. The league likely won't examine a long-term plan for the football championship game until the spring, but Delany offered up this little nugget: "We are not closing our door to outdoor football."


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Wednesday, September 1, 2010

Did Wal-Mart Wisdom Help Save THE GAME?

We are less than 24 hours from the beginning of the 2010 college football season, and the big news is what is on the horizon for the 2011 season with the Big Ten Conference. Beginning in 2011, Ohio State will begin divisional play against Illinois, Indiana, Penn State, Purdue, and Wisconsin.

Most importantly for Ohio State, its annual game with Michigan will remain as the final game of the regular season. Michigan and Ohio State have concluded the season every year since 1935.

Earlier this week, Ohio State Head Coach Jim Tressel made a comment that I believe is very appropriate to recall when thinking about the new divisions (still to be named) that will comprise the Big Ten ~

"Sam Walton said if you're not listening to your customers, you're not listening and that's not the smartest thing to do."

Thank you, Jim Delany. Thank you, Gene Smith of Ohio State and Dave Brandon of Michigan. And above all, thank you, the fans, who undoubtedly helped to preserve the tradition of THE GAME, with the continual barrage of e-mails and Facebook groups that were mentioned during the announcement this evening.

Different divisions, keeping final-game status?

From The Columbus Dispatch's "Blogging The Buckeyes"…Update regarding Big Ten divisions, and possible status on THE GAME…

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The Big Ten Network will announce the conference's divisional alignment tonight at 7 p.m., and 97.1 The Fan radio station is reporting that Ohio State and Michigan will be in different divisions but play the final week of the regular season.

OSU athletics director Gene Smith would not confirm or deny that when contacted, saying he was keeping a promise to keep silent about the matter.

An uproar erupted two weeks ago when top officials from Ohio State and Michigan expressed open-mindedness about changing the arch-rivals' matchup from its traditional final weekend spot. Smith received 1,200 emails, most of which were strongly opposed to the change.

The schools have played the final weekend of the their regular seasons since 1935.


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