A Post From Mr. Seymour

A rebuttal, if you will, to my last post. Enjoy...

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BCS Bowl Breakdown
To ‘The Mind’
Reading your last post I am going to have to disagree on your bowl prediction for Ohio State and I will explain why.
First, the Buckeyes and the Nittany Lions have to win all of their remaining games or nothing after this really matters.
As painful as it will be Buckeye fans need to cheer for LSU and Florida in the upcoming weeks. Why you ask, well, we need their help. Currently, the top three teams are all undefeated. Those are Texas, Alabama and Penn State. The only way Penn State makes the BCS Title Game is if Texas and/or Alabama lose and Penn State runs the table. No worries, a once defeated SEC, Big 12 or PAC 10 team, will not jump an undefeated Big 10 team.
Now the remaining games for Texas and Alabama are as follows.
Texas plays @Texas Tech, Baylor, @Kansas and Texas A&M. Then they will meet either Kansas, Nebraska or Missouri in the Big 12 Championship game. I predict Texas wins out and plays Penn State in the BCS Title game on January 8. Who wouldn’t bet on a QB who is completing 80% of his passes! Colt McCoy should also win the Heisman.
Now for the Crimson Tide, I think their road is a little more difficult and they will stumble along the way. Remaining schedule is Arkansas State, @LSU, Mississippi State and Auburn. Then they meet the Georgia v. Florida winner from this Saturday in the SEC Championship Game. I believe Alabama will either lose to LSU in one week and/or lose to Florida in the SEC Championship game (that’s right, I think Florida will beat Georgia in the World’s Largest Cocktail Party!!).
So with all that being said the remaining Top 14 teams in the country will be Oklahoma, Florida, USC, Utah, Boise State, Ohio State, Alabama, Missouri, LSU, Florida State, Ball State and Pitt. Yep, a MAC team will be in the Top 14 with absolutely no shot at a BCS Bowl.
#1 Texas and #2 Penn State go to the BCS Championship, thus allowing the Fiesta Bowl and Rose Bowl the first two picks of eligible teams since they lost their respective, Big 12 and Big 10 Champs.
The division champs receive the automatic bids and are set in the respective Bowls. Only two (2) teams can be chosen from each conference of the BCS Conferences (ACC, Big East, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-10 and SEC). Notre Dame is eligible if they are in the Top 8 rankings (not this year!). In the C-USA, MAC, MWC Sun Belt and the WAC, only one team receives a bid if they are ranked higher than #12 in the BCS. This will be given to the undefeated Utah Utes.
Division Champs are ACC = Florida State (Orange) – SEC = Florida (Sugar)– PAC 10 = USC (Rose).
Now, the first selection goes to the Fiesta Bowl. I think they select the second best team in the Big 12, Oklahoma. They also pick third and will be happy with what teams are left after the Rose Bowl selection, thinking the Rose Bowl will go Big Ten. Now up is the Rose Bowl and they can select between (in no order) Alabama (SEC Runner Up), Utah (undefeated and MWC Champ), Ohio State (Big Ten Runner Up) or Pittsburgh (Big East Champ). The Rose Bowl Committee is very traditional and they see a nice matchup, gate revenue and fan base and a team who hasn’t played in their Bowl Game in 12 years, The Ohio State Buckeyes. I know, on paper the Alabama v. USC matchup may look better but I think with the tradition of the Big 10 v. Pac 10 matchup the Buckeyes are chosen over Alabama. The Bowl Committees make the selections, not the TV Networks.
Alabama doesn’t stay on the board long and is chosen by the Fiesta Bowl next and plays Oklahoma. This leaves the Sugar Bowl to find an opponent for Florida and they choose the Utah Utes hoping for a big draw like Boise State and Hawaii in past seasons. That leaves the Orange with the bottom of the barrel for BCS Bowl games putting Pittsburgh v. Florida State.
Missouri, Georgia and LSU lose out based on the stronger teams in their conferences and Boise State, TCU, Ball State and Tulsa fall short of the dream based on Utah’s undefeated season. Notre Dame makes a bowl game finishing (9-3) but not a BCS Bowl.
So in review, my predictions are as follows:
BCS Championship (Jan. 8) – Texas Longhorns (13-0) v. Penn State Nittany Lions (12-0)
Fiesta Bowl (Jan. 5) – Alabama Crimson Tide (11-2) v. Oklahoma Sooners (11-1)
Sugar Bowl (Jan. 3) – Florida Gators (12-1) v. Utah Utes (12-0)
Rose Bowl (Jan. 1) – Ohio State Buckeyes (10-2) v. USC Trojans (11-1)
Orange Bowl (Jan. 1) – Florida State Seminoles (11-2) v. Pittsburgh Panthers (9-3)
Today is October 28 and there is tons of football yet to be played but we’ll see how accurate I am as this season plays out.
The nice part is Ohio State still has a shot at a BCS Bowl Game, which isn’t bad as a two loss team.

Cheers!!!
Seymour11